Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hebei Huatong Wires and Cables Group Co., Ltd. (605196.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.01 - $115.46$61.23
Multi-Stage$13.33 - $14.59$13.95
Blended Fair Value$37.59
Current Price$24.34
Upside54.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS35.07%11.39%0.210.180.160.110.060.050.040.000.040.04
YoY Growth--17.35%11.14%44.37%97.42%20.96%11.78%0.00%-100.00%-9.33%-43.57%
Dividend Yield--1.53%1.63%2.12%1.15%0.77%0.64%0.00%0.00%0.50%0.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)298.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)83.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)215.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.7737.3522.41
Cash Retained (M)215.52215.52215.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.77-37.35-22.41
(=) Excess Retained (M)155.75178.16193.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)514.70514.70514.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.350.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.350.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$26.01$61.23$115.46
Upside / Downside6.88%151.56%374.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)298.83318.25338.94360.97384.43409.42421.70
Payout Ratio27.88%40.30%52.73%65.15%77.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)83.31128.27178.71235.18298.23368.48390.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.38%7.38%7.38%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)118.32119.45120.57
Year 2 PV (M)152.08154.98157.91
Year 3 PV (M)184.62189.92195.32
Year 4 PV (M)215.98224.28232.82
Year 5 PV (M)246.17258.06270.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,944.856,231.996,530.12
Equity Value (M)6,862.037,178.687,507.14
Shares Outstanding (M)514.70514.70514.70
Fair Value$13.33$13.95$14.59
Upside / Downside-45.23%-42.70%-40.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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