Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Xiamen Leading Optics Co., Ltd. (605118.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$102.72 - $125.02$117.08
Multi-Stage$65.13 - $71.96$68.47
Blended Fair Value$92.78
Current Price$29.05
Upside219.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS157.92%0.00%0.340.120.120.150.000.000.000.110.070.00
YoY Growth--183.21%0.48%-19.57%6,644.10%-26.06%17.08%-97.59%52.04%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.64%0.61%0.81%1.13%0.01%0.02%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)275.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)127.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)147.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55.1134.4520.67
Cash Retained (M)147.99147.99147.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-55.11-34.45-20.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.88113.55127.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)407.77407.77407.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.230.280.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.230.280.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.540.590.63
WACC / Discount Rate-1.48%-1.48%-1.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$102.72$117.08$125.02
Upside / Downside253.59%303.03%330.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)275.57272.81270.08267.38264.71262.06269.92
Payout Ratio46.29%55.04%63.78%72.52%81.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)127.57150.14172.25193.90215.10235.85249.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.48%-1.48%-1.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)150.87152.41153.94
Year 2 PV (M)173.91177.48181.08
Year 3 PV (M)196.71202.80209.00
Year 4 PV (M)219.27228.36237.72
Year 5 PV (M)241.58254.16267.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,574.4526,906.1728,292.80
Equity Value (M)26,556.8027,921.3729,341.82
Shares Outstanding (M)407.77407.77407.77
Fair Value$65.13$68.47$71.96
Upside / Downside124.19%135.71%147.70%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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