Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Zhejiang Jiecang Linear Motion Technology Co.,Ltd. (603583.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$161.09 - $189.79$177.87
Multi-Stage$113.32 - $124.35$118.73
Blended Fair Value$148.30
Current Price$42.71
Upside247.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.16%32.05%0.240.370.300.330.240.320.000.120.230.03
YoY Growth---33.49%22.34%-9.11%39.71%-25.75%0.00%-100.00%-50.00%597.57%123.02%
Dividend Yield--0.60%2.03%1.21%1.12%0.46%1.56%0.00%0.79%1.59%0.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)368.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)128.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)240.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)73.7746.1127.66
Cash Retained (M)240.68240.68240.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-73.77-46.11-27.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)166.91194.57213.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)386.51386.51386.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.500.55
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.500.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.760.840.88
WACC / Discount Rate1.62%1.62%1.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$161.09$177.87$189.79
Upside / Downside277.18%316.45%344.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)368.86392.83418.37445.56474.52505.37520.53
Payout Ratio34.75%45.80%56.85%67.90%78.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)128.18179.92237.84302.54374.64454.83481.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.62%1.62%1.62%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)175.38177.05178.71
Year 2 PV (M)226.00230.31234.65
Year 3 PV (M)280.23288.27296.47
Year 4 PV (M)338.26351.27364.65
Year 5 PV (M)400.31419.65439.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)42,377.4644,424.3146,549.50
Equity Value (M)43,797.6445,890.8548,063.69
Shares Outstanding (M)386.51386.51386.51
Fair Value$113.32$118.73$124.35
Upside / Downside165.32%178.00%191.16%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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