Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Suzhou Etron Technologies Co.,Ltd. (603380.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$99.17 - $274.89$257.61
Multi-Stage$39.58 - $43.25$41.38
Blended Fair Value$149.50
Current Price$47.85
Upside212.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.11%8.72%0.320.230.200.330.260.220.200.150.180.24
YoY Growth--40.95%16.38%-40.75%26.75%19.90%10.00%33.33%-15.03%-26.47%70.40%
Dividend Yield--1.34%1.14%0.77%1.04%1.18%1.43%1.10%0.71%1.15%1.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)221.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)172.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.2727.6716.60
Cash Retained (M)48.7848.7848.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.27-27.67-16.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.5121.1132.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)160.14160.14160.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.130.20
LTM Dividend per Share1.081.081.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.130.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.111.211.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$99.17$257.61$274.89
Upside / Downside107.26%438.37%474.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)221.34235.73251.05267.37284.75303.26312.36
Payout Ratio77.96%80.37%82.78%85.19%87.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)172.57189.46207.82227.76249.42272.93288.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)175.93177.60179.27
Year 2 PV (M)179.20182.62186.06
Year 3 PV (M)182.38187.62192.95
Year 4 PV (M)185.47192.60199.94
Year 5 PV (M)188.46197.57207.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,426.955,689.075,961.23
Equity Value (M)6,338.406,627.086,926.47
Shares Outstanding (M)160.14160.14160.14
Fair Value$39.58$41.38$43.25
Upside / Downside-17.28%-13.51%-9.61%

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