Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Chongqing road & bridge co.,ltd (600106.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Infrastructure OperationsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.67 - $0.88$0.78
Multi-Stage$2.24 - $2.49$2.36
Blended Fair Value$1.57
Current Price$6.31
Upside-75.11%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.75%4.50%0.100.050.060.050.060.060.070.070.050.06
YoY Growth--109.80%-20.69%11.54%-14.63%10.00%-13.29%-4.59%30.67%-8.54%-9.89%
Dividend Yield--1.86%0.75%1.23%1.14%2.30%2.30%1.99%2.28%0.96%0.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)229.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)89.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)140.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)45.9628.7317.24
Cash Retained (M)140.67140.67140.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-45.96-28.73-17.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)94.71111.95123.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,286.011,286.011,286.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-12.42%-11.42%-10.42%
Fair Value$0.67$0.78$0.88
Upside / Downside-89.45%-87.67%-86.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)229.81203.57180.33159.74141.50125.35129.11
Payout Ratio38.79%49.03%59.27%69.51%79.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)89.1499.81106.88111.04112.86112.81119.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate-12.42%-11.42%-10.42%
Year 1 PV (M)92.7693.8294.88
Year 2 PV (M)92.3294.4496.58
Year 3 PV (M)89.1392.2295.38
Year 4 PV (M)84.1988.1092.15
Year 5 PV (M)78.2182.7887.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,444.722,587.512,736.90
Equity Value (M)2,881.333,038.873,203.44
Shares Outstanding (M)1,286.011,286.011,286.01
Fair Value$2.24$2.36$2.49
Upside / Downside-64.49%-62.55%-60.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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