Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Nichias Corporation (5393.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21,027.43 - $92,807.39$49,823.29
Multi-Stage$13,683.70 - $14,998.76$14,329.00
Blended Fair Value$32,076.15
Current Price$5,558.00
Upside477.12%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.47%13.32%104.1696.6192.6384.3578.2476.1266.2258.5149.5035.25
YoY Growth--7.81%4.31%9.81%7.82%2.77%14.96%13.19%18.19%40.42%18.22%
Dividend Yield--1.89%2.03%3.10%3.74%2.80%3.39%3.30%2.11%1.91%2.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30,353.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,015.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)23,338.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,070.603,794.132,276.48
Cash Retained (M)23,338.0023,338.0023,338.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,070.60-3,794.13-2,276.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,267.4019,543.8821,061.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)64.4264.4264.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share268.04303.38326.94
LTM Dividend per Share108.89108.89108.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share268.04303.38326.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend376.93412.27435.83
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate4.47%5.47%6.47%
Fair Value$21,027.43$49,823.29$92,807.39
Upside / Downside278.33%796.42%1,569.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30,353.0032,013.8433,765.5635,613.1337,561.7939,617.0840,805.59
Payout Ratio23.11%36.49%49.87%63.24%76.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,015.0011,681.5716,837.8222,523.3728,780.7035,655.3737,745.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate4.47%5.47%6.47%
Year 1 PV (M)10,880.5010,984.6511,088.79
Year 2 PV (M)14,607.6814,888.6615,172.33
Year 3 PV (M)18,200.2118,727.8619,265.62
Year 4 PV (M)21,661.6822,503.0423,368.68
Year 5 PV (M)24,995.5926,215.0027,481.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)791,167.51829,764.51869,853.38
Equity Value (M)881,513.15923,083.71966,230.33
Shares Outstanding (M)64.4264.4264.42
Fair Value$13,683.70$14,329.00$14,998.76
Upside / Downside146.20%157.81%169.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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