Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Eisai Co., Ltd. (4523.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,745.35 - $2,755.37$2,207.26
Multi-Stage$3,840.94 - $4,217.08$4,025.37
Blended Fair Value$3,116.31
Current Price$4,975.00
Upside-37.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.13%0.62%161.50162.82162.74162.68162.65162.58152.33152.23152.14152.00
YoY Growth---0.81%0.05%0.03%0.02%0.04%6.73%0.07%0.06%0.09%0.13%
Dividend Yield--3.89%2.44%1.67%2.84%1.49%1.90%2.43%1.95%2.45%2.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49,368.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45,151.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,217.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,873.606,171.003,702.60
Cash Retained (M)4,217.004,217.004,217.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,873.60-6,171.00-3,702.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)-5,656.60-1,954.00514.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)282.01282.01282.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share-20.06-6.931.82
LTM Dividend per Share160.11160.11160.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share-20.06-6.931.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend140.05153.18161.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-1.38%-0.38%0.62%
Fair Value$1,745.35$2,207.26$2,755.37
Upside / Downside-64.92%-55.63%-44.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49,368.0049,181.0048,994.7148,809.1248,624.2448,440.0649,893.26
Payout Ratio91.46%91.17%90.87%90.58%90.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45,151.0044,836.5644,523.8544,212.8743,903.6143,596.0546,151.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-1.38%-0.38%0.62%
Year 1 PV (M)41,663.9042,086.3642,508.83
Year 2 PV (M)38,445.7239,229.3440,020.86
Year 3 PV (M)35,475.7636,565.8937,678.13
Year 4 PV (M)32,734.8834,082.9135,472.16
Year 5 PV (M)30,205.4631,768.2233,395.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)904,640.09951,444.051,000,165.50
Equity Value (M)1,083,165.801,135,176.781,189,240.48
Shares Outstanding (M)282.01282.01282.01
Fair Value$3,840.94$4,025.37$4,217.08
Upside / Downside-22.80%-19.09%-15.23%

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