Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dur Hospitality Company (4010.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.93 - $13.47$10.34
Multi-Stage$12.22 - $13.45$12.82
Blended Fair Value$11.58
Current Price$25.95
Upside-55.36%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS0.00%-45.93%0.000.000.520.240.530.000.000.001.111.28
YoY Growth---12.64%-99.40%111.89%-54.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-13.19%0.49%
Dividend Yield--0.01%0.01%1.66%1.05%2.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.41%3.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.288.304.98
Cash Retained (M)66.3366.3366.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.28-8.30-4.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)53.0558.0361.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)102.83102.83102.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.520.560.60
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.520.560.60
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.14%7.14%7.14%
Growth Rate0.59%1.59%2.59%
Fair Value$7.93$10.34$13.47
Upside / Downside-69.43%-60.14%-48.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.4267.4768.5569.6470.7571.8874.03
Payout Ratio0.13%18.10%36.08%54.05%72.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.0912.2224.7337.6450.9664.6968.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.14%7.14%7.14%
Growth Rate0.59%1.59%2.59%
Year 1 PV (M)11.2911.4011.51
Year 2 PV (M)21.1221.5421.97
Year 3 PV (M)29.7130.6031.52
Year 4 PV (M)37.1738.6740.21
Year 5 PV (M)43.6045.8148.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,114.081,170.571,229.33
Equity Value (M)1,256.981,318.601,382.66
Shares Outstanding (M)102.83102.83102.83
Fair Value$12.22$12.82$13.45
Upside / Downside-52.90%-50.59%-48.19%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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