Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Doctorglasses Chain Co.,Ltd. (300622.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.87 - $38.62$21.52
Multi-Stage$9.69 - $10.58$10.13
Blended Fair Value$15.82
Current Price$32.14
Upside-50.77%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.59%27.58%0.780.280.450.320.190.230.090.090.140.21
YoY Growth--179.62%-38.98%44.10%63.33%-15.81%153.53%0.00%-33.33%-35.65%210.68%
Dividend Yield--1.73%1.64%2.11%1.74%1.14%1.89%0.85%0.76%0.60%2.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)107.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)59.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.6013.508.10
Cash Retained (M)48.3848.3848.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.60-13.50-8.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.7834.8840.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)189.55189.55189.55
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate8.97%8.97%8.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.87$21.52$38.62
Upside / Downside-56.85%-33.05%20.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)107.98114.99122.47130.43138.91147.94152.37
Payout Ratio55.20%62.16%69.12%76.08%83.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)59.6071.4884.6599.23115.35133.14140.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.97%8.97%8.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)64.9865.6066.21
Year 2 PV (M)69.9671.2972.64
Year 3 PV (M)74.5576.6978.87
Year 4 PV (M)78.7881.8184.93
Year 5 PV (M)82.6786.6690.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,466.711,537.551,611.11
Equity Value (M)1,837.661,919.612,004.57
Shares Outstanding (M)189.55189.55189.55
Fair Value$9.69$10.13$10.58
Upside / Downside-69.84%-68.49%-67.10%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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