Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Beijing Strong Biotechnologies, Inc. (300406.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Diagnostics & ResearchSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.41 - $144.95$75.62
Multi-Stage$17.09 - $18.67$17.86
Blended Fair Value$46.74
Current Price$13.36
Upside249.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.71%0.00%0.210.110.150.130.140.130.130.250.130.11
YoY Growth--92.08%-28.67%15.31%-4.64%10.41%-0.81%-49.90%100.46%20.47%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.34%0.58%0.73%0.73%0.72%0.74%0.74%1.48%0.69%0.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)431.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)245.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)185.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)86.3453.9632.38
Cash Retained (M)185.92185.92185.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-86.34-53.96-32.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)99.58131.96153.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)592.30592.30592.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.220.26
LTM Dividend per Share0.410.410.41
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.220.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.640.67
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$32.41$75.62$144.95
Upside / Downside142.58%466.05%984.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)431.71459.77489.66521.49555.38591.48609.23
Payout Ratio56.93%63.55%70.16%76.77%83.39%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)245.79292.17343.55400.36463.12532.33563.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)269.49272.05274.60
Year 2 PV (M)292.28297.85303.46
Year 3 PV (M)314.18323.19332.38
Year 4 PV (M)335.21348.10361.36
Year 5 PV (M)355.40372.56390.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,554.268,967.439,396.42
Equity Value (M)10,120.8110,581.1811,058.61
Shares Outstanding (M)592.30592.30592.30
Fair Value$17.09$17.86$18.67
Upside / Downside27.90%33.72%39.75%

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