Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Shenzhen Microgate Technology Co., Ltd. (300319.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$65.18 - $76.79$71.97
Multi-Stage$52.21 - $57.30$54.71
Blended Fair Value$63.34
Current Price$12.82
Upside394.05%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.87%31.21%0.100.130.060.030.030.030.030.060.030.01
YoY Growth---25.21%110.47%133.96%-13.64%7.47%-16.60%-38.63%57.40%171.74%102.08%
Dividend Yield--0.83%1.53%0.62%0.27%0.37%0.29%0.43%0.75%0.33%0.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)337.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)111.52
(=) Cash Retained (M)225.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)67.4242.1425.28
Cash Retained (M)225.58225.58225.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-67.42-42.14-25.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)158.16183.45200.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)873.01873.01873.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.130.130.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.180.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$65.18$71.97$76.79
Upside / Downside408.42%461.36%499.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)337.10359.01382.35407.20433.67461.86475.71
Payout Ratio33.08%44.46%55.85%67.23%78.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)111.52159.63213.54273.77340.93415.67440.03

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-1.02%-1.02%-1.02%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)159.76161.27162.79
Year 2 PV (M)213.87217.94222.05
Year 3 PV (M)274.41282.28290.31
Year 4 PV (M)341.99355.14368.67
Year 5 PV (M)417.28437.44458.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)44,174.0646,307.6848,522.96
Equity Value (M)45,581.3747,761.7650,025.15
Shares Outstanding (M)873.01873.01873.01
Fair Value$52.21$54.71$57.30
Upside / Downside307.27%326.75%346.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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