Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Guangdong Create Century Intelligent Equipment Group Corporation Limited (300083.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.19 - $3.39$2.75
Multi-Stage$4.10 - $4.52$4.31
Blended Fair Value$3.53
Current Price$10.32
Upside-65.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-10.24%0.71%0.030.020.030.050.040.050.040.030.020.03
YoY Growth--63.22%-33.57%-38.80%11.85%-21.49%23.12%35.83%100.59%-41.79%-5.64%
Dividend Yield--0.34%0.27%0.32%0.40%0.31%1.19%1.14%0.42%0.17%0.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)383.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)343.33
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)76.7247.9528.77
Cash Retained (M)343.33343.33343.33
(-) Cash Required (M)-76.72-47.95-28.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)266.61295.38314.56
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,649.661,649.661,649.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.190.200.22
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate-1.29%-0.29%0.71%
Fair Value$2.19$2.75$3.39
Upside / Downside-78.79%-73.39%-67.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)383.59382.50381.40380.31379.23378.14389.49
Payout Ratio10.50%26.40%42.30%58.20%74.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.26100.97161.33221.34281.00340.33360.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.10%7.10%7.10%
Growth Rate-1.29%-0.29%0.71%
Year 1 PV (M)93.3394.2795.22
Year 2 PV (M)137.83140.64143.48
Year 3 PV (M)174.80180.16185.64
Year 4 PV (M)205.13213.56222.26
Year 5 PV (M)229.63241.50253.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,926.556,232.886,551.75
Equity Value (M)6,767.267,103.027,452.19
Shares Outstanding (M)1,649.661,649.661,649.66
Fair Value$4.10$4.31$4.52
Upside / Downside-60.25%-58.28%-56.23%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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