Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Cabbeen Fashion Limited (2030.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.28 - $0.37$0.33
Multi-Stage$1.00 - $1.11$1.06
Blended Fair Value$0.69
Current Price$1.42
Upside-51.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-24.27%-17.58%0.030.030.040.110.090.110.180.100.140.17
YoY Growth---5.66%-22.57%-67.40%21.10%-13.62%-40.16%84.18%-30.03%-14.30%-12.15%
Dividend Yield--2.37%3.13%4.14%5.00%3.30%8.17%10.70%5.23%7.84%4.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)34.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.61
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.876.794.08
Cash Retained (M)19.6119.6119.61
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.87-6.79-4.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.7412.8115.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)668.59668.59668.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.070.08
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-13.52%-12.52%-11.52%
Fair Value$0.28$0.33$0.37
Upside / Downside-80.05%-76.76%-73.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.3447.5441.5936.3831.8327.8528.68
Payout Ratio63.92%69.13%74.35%79.57%84.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)34.7332.8630.9228.9526.9925.0626.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-13.52%-12.52%-11.52%
Year 1 PV (M)30.5530.9131.26
Year 2 PV (M)26.7227.3527.97
Year 3 PV (M)23.2624.0824.91
Year 4 PV (M)20.1621.1122.09
Year 5 PV (M)17.4018.4319.51
PV of Terminal Value (M)552.33585.01619.22
Equity Value (M)670.43706.88744.96
Shares Outstanding (M)668.59668.59668.59
Fair Value$1.00$1.06$1.11
Upside / Downside-29.38%-25.54%-21.53%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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