Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company (0Y4Q.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - BrokersSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$362.35 - $735.33$506.28
Multi-Stage$395.80 - $433.99$414.54
Blended Fair Value$460.41
Current Price$344.22
Upside33.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.48%5.36%3.513.493.663.713.433.273.042.751.982.75
YoY Growth--0.57%-4.61%-1.34%8.09%5.17%7.52%10.47%39.20%-28.16%31.90%
Dividend Yield--1.04%1.29%1.58%1.58%1.49%2.12%1.72%1.82%1.29%1.79%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,116.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)358.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,758.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)423.20264.50158.70
Cash Retained (M)1,758.001,758.001,758.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-423.20-264.50-158.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,334.801,493.501,599.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)100.75100.75100.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share13.2514.8215.87
LTM Dividend per Share3.553.553.55
(+) Excess Retained per Share13.2514.8215.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.8018.3819.43
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate2.90%3.90%4.90%
Fair Value$362.35$506.28$735.33
Upside / Downside5.27%47.08%113.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,116.002,198.602,284.432,373.612,466.272,562.552,639.42
Payout Ratio16.92%31.53%46.15%60.77%75.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)358.00693.331,054.291,442.381,859.172,306.292,441.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate2.90%3.90%4.90%
Year 1 PV (M)637.71643.91650.10
Year 2 PV (M)891.93909.35926.93
Year 3 PV (M)1,122.361,155.401,189.08
Year 4 PV (M)1,330.621,383.101,437.12
Year 5 PV (M)1,518.221,593.431,671.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,376.2836,079.3737,849.30
Equity Value (M)39,877.1141,764.5543,724.14
Shares Outstanding (M)100.75100.75100.75
Fair Value$395.80$414.54$433.99
Upside / Downside14.99%20.43%26.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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