Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

SoftBank Group Corp. (0R15.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,130.79 - $13,397.10$11,184.24
Multi-Stage$20,509.66 - $22,641.55$21,554.23
Blended Fair Value$16,369.24
Current Price$10,415.00
Upside57.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-1.39%3.03%44.3044.5448.6152.4960.0447.5133.1633.1632.0232.68
YoY Growth---0.52%-8.38%-7.39%-12.58%26.36%43.28%0.00%3.55%-2.00%-0.63%
Dividend Yield--0.43%0.42%0.72%1.00%0.76%0.86%0.63%0.83%0.68%0.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,745,189.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72,825.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,672,364.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)349,037.80218,148.63130,889.18
Cash Retained (M)1,672,364.001,672,364.001,672,364.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-349,037.80-218,148.63-130,889.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,323,326.201,454,215.381,541,474.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,445.061,445.061,445.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share915.761,006.331,066.72
LTM Dividend per Share50.4050.4050.40
(+) Excess Retained per Share915.761,006.331,066.72
(=) Adjusted Dividend966.151,056.731,117.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate-3.39%-2.39%-1.39%
Fair Value$9,130.79$11,184.24$13,397.10
Upside / Downside-12.33%7.39%28.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,745,189.001,703,489.601,662,786.571,623,056.091,584,274.931,546,420.401,592,813.01
Payout Ratio4.17%21.34%38.50%55.67%72.83%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72,825.00363,496.07640,235.02903,541.701,153,899.991,391,778.361,473,352.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate-3.39%-2.39%-1.39%
Year 1 PV (M)336,760.49340,246.24343,731.99
Year 2 PV (M)549,518.41560,953.23572,505.80
Year 3 PV (M)718,476.27741,018.47764,027.32
Year 4 PV (M)850,068.27885,814.16922,675.72
Year 5 PV (M)949,898.341,000,087.821,052,376.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)26,232,995.9027,619,060.7029,063,104.10
Equity Value (M)29,637,717.6831,147,180.6332,718,421.65
Shares Outstanding (M)1,445.061,445.061,445.06
Fair Value$20,509.66$21,554.23$22,641.55
Upside / Downside96.92%106.95%117.39%

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