Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Siegfried Holding AG (0QQO.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$632.83 - $1,295.10$1,213.69
Multi-Stage$195.30 - $213.98$204.47
Blended Fair Value$709.08
Current Price$89.30
Upside694.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.35%10.00%0.350.330.310.290.270.250.230.180.160.14
YoY Growth--6.57%6.67%7.17%8.67%7.68%8.32%27.24%11.90%16.91%0.93%
Dividend Yield--0.36%0.39%0.51%0.33%0.41%0.53%0.70%0.56%0.76%0.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)283.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)251.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)56.6035.3821.23
Cash Retained (M)251.00251.00251.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-56.60-35.38-21.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)194.40215.62229.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.4643.4643.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.474.965.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.740.740.74
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.474.965.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.215.706.02
WACC / Discount Rate6.37%6.37%6.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$632.83$1,213.69$1,295.10
Upside / Downside608.65%1,259.12%1,350.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)283.02301.42321.01341.87364.09387.76399.39
Payout Ratio11.31%27.05%42.79%58.53%74.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.0281.53137.35200.08270.39348.98369.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.37%6.37%6.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)75.9376.6577.37
Year 2 PV (M)119.13121.40123.69
Year 3 PV (M)161.61166.25170.98
Year 4 PV (M)203.40211.22219.26
Year 5 PV (M)244.49256.30268.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,683.398,054.508,439.81
Equity Value (M)8,487.948,886.319,299.67
Shares Outstanding (M)43.4643.4643.46
Fair Value$195.30$204.47$213.98
Upside / Downside118.70%128.97%139.62%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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