Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

AF Gruppen ASA (0DH7.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$101.41 - $163.52$129.41
Multi-Stage$213.42 - $234.68$223.84
Blended Fair Value$176.62
Current Price$152.80
Upside15.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-15.05%-3.25%3.486.4010.3010.219.167.867.657.586.816.72
YoY Growth---45.71%-37.83%0.90%11.49%16.53%2.75%0.84%11.42%1.22%38.94%
Dividend Yield--2.49%4.73%6.91%5.11%5.20%5.38%4.97%6.09%4.43%5.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,043.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)546.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)497.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)208.60130.3878.23
Cash Retained (M)497.00497.00497.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-208.60-130.38-78.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)288.40366.63418.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)109.30109.30109.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.643.353.83
LTM Dividend per Share5.005.005.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.643.353.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.638.358.83
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-1.03%-0.03%0.97%
Fair Value$101.41$129.41$163.52
Upside / Downside-33.63%-15.31%7.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,043.001,042.681,042.371,042.051,041.731,041.411,072.66
Payout Ratio52.35%59.88%67.41%74.94%82.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)546.00624.35702.65780.91859.11937.27992.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-1.03%-0.03%0.97%
Year 1 PV (M)580.82586.68592.55
Year 2 PV (M)608.08620.43632.90
Year 3 PV (M)628.68647.93667.57
Year 4 PV (M)643.41669.81697.02
Year 5 PV (M)653.00686.67721.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,211.5921,253.5322,338.01
Equity Value (M)23,325.5824,465.0625,649.76
Shares Outstanding (M)109.30109.30109.30
Fair Value$213.42$223.84$234.68
Upside / Downside39.67%46.49%53.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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