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HDC Hyundai Engineering Plastics Co., Ltd. (089470.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19,419.16 - $37,829.31$26,723.70
Multi-Stage$28,563.63 - $31,394.44$29,951.94
Blended Fair Value$28,337.82
Current Price$4,060.00
Upside597.98%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.85%3.97%144.63133.19155.39155.39133.1972.38142.41170.37159.27122.51
YoY Growth--8.59%-14.29%0.00%16.67%84.02%-49.18%-16.41%6.97%30.00%25.00%
Dividend Yield--4.25%2.91%3.59%3.27%2.12%2.60%3.24%2.62%1.89%1.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31,557.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,626.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)27,931.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,311.433,944.642,366.79
Cash Retained (M)27,931.1427,931.1427,931.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,311.43-3,944.64-2,366.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,619.7123,986.4925,564.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.0426.0426.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share830.31921.21981.81
LTM Dividend per Share139.26139.26139.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share830.31921.21981.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend969.571,060.471,121.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate1.47%2.47%3.47%
Fair Value$19,419.16$26,723.70$37,829.31
Upside / Downside378.30%558.22%831.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31,557.1432,337.6233,137.4233,956.9934,796.8335,657.4536,727.17
Payout Ratio11.49%27.19%42.89%58.60%74.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,626.008,793.3214,214.0219,897.4725,853.3732,091.7033,972.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate1.47%2.47%3.47%
Year 1 PV (M)8,173.028,253.568,334.10
Year 2 PV (M)12,279.3712,522.5912,768.19
Year 3 PV (M)15,976.7016,453.7116,940.12
Year 4 PV (M)19,294.6120,066.5020,861.33
Year 5 PV (M)22,260.8223,379.5424,542.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)665,755.21699,212.65734,001.88
Equity Value (M)743,739.74779,888.55817,448.42
Shares Outstanding (M)26.0426.0426.04
Fair Value$28,563.63$29,951.94$31,394.44
Upside / Downside603.54%637.73%673.26%

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