Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Webzen Inc. (069080.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,776.67 - $29,642.28$21,413.54
Multi-Stage$20,165.89 - $22,117.93$21,123.49
Blended Fair Value$21,268.52
Current Price$14,700.00
Upside44.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%300.50370.620.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---18.92%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.26%2.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)30,480.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,829.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)21,651.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,096.083,810.052,286.03
Cash Retained (M)21,651.2421,651.2421,651.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,096.08-3,810.05-2,286.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,555.1617,841.1919,365.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.3829.3829.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share529.42607.23659.10
LTM Dividend per Share300.50300.50300.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share529.42607.23659.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend829.93907.73959.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate2.05%3.05%4.05%
Fair Value$15,776.67$21,413.54$29,642.28
Upside / Downside7.32%45.67%101.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)30,480.4231,411.1932,370.3733,358.8534,377.5035,427.2736,490.09
Payout Ratio28.97%41.17%53.38%65.59%77.79%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,829.1812,933.0517,279.3221,878.9626,743.4131,884.5433,753.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.42%7.42%7.42%
Growth Rate2.05%3.05%4.05%
Year 1 PV (M)11,922.6312,039.4612,156.29
Year 2 PV (M)14,684.8414,974.0415,266.05
Year 3 PV (M)17,141.1817,650.0218,168.83
Year 4 PV (M)19,315.3320,083.5920,874.55
Year 5 PV (M)21,229.3522,290.0423,392.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)508,205.62533,597.33559,993.97
Equity Value (M)592,498.95620,634.49649,852.42
Shares Outstanding (M)29.3829.3829.38
Fair Value$20,165.89$21,123.49$22,117.93
Upside / Downside37.18%43.70%50.46%

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