Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hankuk Carbon Co., Ltd. (017960.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$225,828.03 - $266,063.68$249,340.63
Multi-Stage$456,714.90 - $501,465.77$478,671.46
Blended Fair Value$364,006.05
Current Price$32,700.00
Upside1,013.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.71%4.33%109.34112.96130.33156.4099.4282.8582.85107.70100.0599.36
YoY Growth---3.20%-13.33%-16.67%57.31%20.00%0.00%-23.08%7.65%0.70%38.83%
Dividend Yield--0.81%1.05%1.06%1.33%0.81%1.49%1.01%1.72%1.50%1.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66,242.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,398.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)59,843.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13,248.408,280.254,968.15
Cash Retained (M)59,843.6959,843.6959,843.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-13,248.40-8,280.25-4,968.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)46,595.2951,563.4454,875.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.5149.5149.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share941.051,041.391,108.28
LTM Dividend per Share129.22129.22129.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share941.051,041.391,108.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,070.281,170.611,237.51
WACC / Discount Rate-17.91%-17.91%-17.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$225,828.03$249,340.63$266,063.68
Upside / Downside590.61%662.51%713.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66,242.0070,547.7375,133.3380,017.0085,218.1090,757.2893,479.99
Payout Ratio9.66%25.73%41.80%57.86%73.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,398.3118,149.9531,402.2746,300.7163,003.2781,681.5586,469.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-17.91%-17.91%-17.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)21,901.2622,108.8622,316.45
Year 2 PV (M)45,724.4646,595.3847,474.52
Year 3 PV (M)81,352.1483,687.4786,067.07
Year 4 PV (M)133,579.01138,716.08143,999.92
Year 5 PV (M)208,974.29219,067.82229,547.66
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,122,250.1623,190,763.1124,300,170.57
Equity Value (M)22,613,781.3223,700,938.7324,829,576.20
Shares Outstanding (M)49.5149.5149.51
Fair Value$456,714.90$478,671.46$501,465.77
Upside / Downside1,296.68%1,363.83%1,433.53%

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