Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Fursys Inc. (016800.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$92,633.96 - $254,637.77$143,200.64
Multi-Stage$103,818.55 - $113,893.54$108,761.19
Blended Fair Value$125,980.92
Current Price$44,900.00
Upside180.58%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.63%4.94%1,200.081,101.461,127.361,025.891,053.831,053.83843.22739.63745.13742.58
YoY Growth--8.95%-2.30%9.89%-2.65%0.00%24.98%14.01%-0.74%0.34%0.25%
Dividend Yield--2.87%3.05%3.81%2.77%3.57%3.83%2.69%2.36%2.34%2.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35,242.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,738.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)24,503.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,048.524,405.322,643.19
Cash Retained (M)24,503.8424,503.8424,503.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,048.52-4,405.32-2,643.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,455.3220,098.5221,860.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.958.958.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,950.682,246.062,442.98
LTM Dividend per Share1,200.081,200.081,200.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,950.682,246.062,442.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,150.763,446.143,643.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Fair Value$92,633.96$143,200.64$254,637.77
Upside / Downside106.31%218.93%467.12%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35,242.5836,632.2838,076.7739,578.2241,138.8842,761.0744,043.91
Payout Ratio30.47%42.38%54.28%66.19%78.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,738.7415,523.5720,669.0426,196.1832,127.0738,484.9740,740.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Year 1 PV (M)14,443.4014,583.7014,724.00
Year 2 PV (M)17,892.7118,242.0218,594.71
Year 3 PV (M)21,099.4721,720.3422,353.29
Year 4 PV (M)24,075.9025,025.1226,002.13
Year 5 PV (M)26,833.6828,162.5829,543.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)824,658.96865,498.81907,940.88
Equity Value (M)929,004.11973,232.561,019,158.61
Shares Outstanding (M)8.958.958.95
Fair Value$103,818.55$108,761.19$113,893.54
Upside / Downside131.22%142.23%153.66%

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