Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Daewon Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (003220.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30,879.73 - $75,147.37$70,424.09
Multi-Stage$11,274.30 - $12,322.37$11,788.78
Blended Fair Value$41,106.43
Current Price$13,240.00
Upside210.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.40%18.57%294.29339.69190.68145.32233.01226.25215.50209.24157.51112.51
YoY Growth---13.36%78.14%31.22%-37.63%2.99%4.99%2.99%32.84%39.99%109.99%
Dividend Yield--2.18%2.26%1.33%0.81%1.50%1.72%1.45%1.17%0.93%0.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,164.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,430.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,734.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,632.891,020.56612.34
Cash Retained (M)1,734.441,734.441,734.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,632.89-1,020.56-612.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)101.54713.881,122.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.6121.6121.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.7033.0451.93
LTM Dividend per Share297.59297.59297.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.7033.0451.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend302.29330.63349.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$30,879.73$70,424.09$75,147.37
Upside / Downside133.23%431.90%467.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,164.478,695.169,260.359,862.2710,503.3211,186.0311,521.61
Payout Ratio78.76%81.01%83.25%85.50%87.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,430.037,043.527,709.598,432.499,216.7910,067.4310,657.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)6,549.526,611.606,673.68
Year 2 PV (M)6,666.086,793.056,921.22
Year 3 PV (M)6,779.766,974.397,172.70
Year 4 PV (M)6,890.627,155.627,428.18
Year 5 PV (M)6,998.697,336.737,687.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)209,719.21219,848.73230,365.93
Equity Value (M)243,603.88254,720.11266,249.40
Shares Outstanding (M)21.6121.6121.61
Fair Value$11,274.30$11,788.78$12,322.37
Upside / Downside-14.85%-10.96%-6.93%

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