Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Jiamei Food Packaging (Chuzhou) Co.,Ltd (002969.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.79 - $2.95$2.31
Multi-Stage$2.35 - $2.58$2.46
Blended Fair Value$2.38
Current Price$3.48
Upside-31.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS43.39%1.95%0.290.010.010.010.020.050.060.480.070.11
YoY Growth--2,525.24%-0.03%10.21%-46.94%-60.50%-24.85%-86.61%563.85%-35.37%-53.62%
Dividend Yield--8.83%0.31%0.28%0.20%0.39%0.53%1.21%9.07%1.37%2.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)148.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.16
(=) Cash Retained (M)134.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.6418.5211.11
Cash Retained (M)134.03134.03134.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.64-18.52-11.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)104.39115.51122.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)950.83950.83950.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.140.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.33%8.33%8.33%
Growth Rate1.29%2.29%3.29%
Fair Value$1.79$2.31$2.95
Upside / Downside-48.45%-33.64%-15.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)148.19151.59155.06158.61162.25165.97170.95
Payout Ratio9.55%25.64%41.73%57.82%73.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.1638.8764.7191.71119.92149.37158.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.33%8.33%8.33%
Growth Rate1.29%2.29%3.29%
Year 1 PV (M)35.5335.8836.23
Year 2 PV (M)54.0755.1456.22
Year 3 PV (M)70.0472.1474.27
Year 4 PV (M)83.7187.0790.52
Year 5 PV (M)95.31100.11105.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,892.341,987.612,086.69
Equity Value (M)2,231.012,337.952,449.04
Shares Outstanding (M)950.83950.83950.83
Fair Value$2.35$2.46$2.58
Upside / Downside-32.58%-29.34%-25.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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