Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Ruida Futures Co., Ltd. (002961.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$67.59 - $218.72$204.97
Multi-Stage$28.90 - $31.63$30.24
Blended Fair Value$117.61
Current Price$21.55
Upside445.74%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS59.07%15.77%0.380.250.370.310.210.040.130.020.020.00
YoY Growth--54.89%-34.00%22.23%43.87%466.43%-70.62%452.01%39.60%1,845.66%-99.04%
Dividend Yield--2.35%1.95%2.36%1.59%1.02%0.13%1.60%0.00%0.21%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)497.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)165.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)331.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)99.4062.1337.28
Cash Retained (M)331.77331.77331.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-99.40-62.13-37.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)232.37269.65294.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)451.92451.92451.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.370.370.37
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.880.961.02
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$67.59$204.97$218.72
Upside / Downside213.62%851.15%914.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)497.01529.32563.72600.37639.39680.95701.38
Payout Ratio33.25%44.60%55.95%67.30%78.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)165.24236.06315.39404.04502.88612.86648.78

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)218.80220.88222.95
Year 2 PV (M)270.97276.13281.34
Year 3 PV (M)321.75330.99340.40
Year 4 PV (M)371.19385.46400.15
Year 5 PV (M)419.30439.55460.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,459.5612,013.0712,587.75
Equity Value (M)13,061.5813,666.0814,293.17
Shares Outstanding (M)451.92451.92451.92
Fair Value$28.90$30.24$31.63
Upside / Downside34.12%40.33%46.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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