Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Zhuzhou Tianqiao Crane Co., Ltd. (002523.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.43 - $2.83$1.98
Multi-Stage$1.14 - $1.25$1.20
Blended Fair Value$1.59
Current Price$3.88
Upside-59.04%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.93%7.97%0.020.030.030.030.040.050.030.020.020.02
YoY Growth---26.77%-10.79%4.49%-26.26%-21.42%42.17%76.86%5.92%21.40%68.29%
Dividend Yield--0.54%0.83%0.97%1.04%1.68%1.99%0.91%0.44%0.44%0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)120.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)118.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)24.0715.049.03
Cash Retained (M)118.38118.38118.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-24.07-15.04-9.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)94.31103.34109.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,417.781,417.781,417.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.070.08
WACC / Discount Rate9.77%9.77%9.77%
Growth Rate4.81%5.81%6.81%
Fair Value$1.43$1.98$2.83
Upside / Downside-63.06%-48.92%-27.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)120.34127.33134.72142.55150.83159.60164.38
Payout Ratio1.62%19.30%36.97%54.65%72.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.9524.5749.8177.90109.09143.64152.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.77%9.77%9.77%
Growth Rate4.81%5.81%6.81%
Year 1 PV (M)22.1722.3922.60
Year 2 PV (M)40.5641.3442.12
Year 3 PV (M)57.2458.8960.58
Year 4 PV (M)72.3275.1278.00
Year 5 PV (M)85.9390.1194.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,342.771,408.061,475.87
Equity Value (M)1,621.001,695.911,773.62
Shares Outstanding (M)1,417.781,417.781,417.78
Fair Value$1.14$1.20$1.25
Upside / Downside-70.53%-69.17%-67.76%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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