Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

Sector

Western Mining Co.,Ltd. (601168.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.82 - $128.05$60.73
Multi-Stage$25.22 - $27.47$26.32
Blended Fair Value$43.53
Current Price$22.00
Upside97.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.37%11.47%0.781.680.200.120.100.430.410.270.300.27
YoY Growth---53.65%738.92%66.67%20.00%-76.96%5.19%52.77%-11.43%11.77%3.92%
Dividend Yield--4.57%8.79%1.58%0.87%0.80%7.65%6.01%3.98%3.54%4.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,144.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,827.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)316.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)628.93393.08235.85
Cash Retained (M)316.89316.89316.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-628.93-393.08-235.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)-312.04-76.2081.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,383.002,383.002,383.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.13-0.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share1.191.191.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.13-0.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.061.151.22
WACC / Discount Rate8.52%8.52%8.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.82$60.73$128.05
Upside / Downside67.37%176.06%482.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,144.653,349.053,566.743,798.584,045.494,308.444,437.70
Payout Ratio89.92%89.94%89.95%89.97%89.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,827.763,012.083,208.423,417.553,640.313,877.604,104.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.52%8.52%8.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,749.422,775.482,801.54
Year 2 PV (M)2,673.252,724.162,775.56
Year 3 PV (M)2,599.182,673.802,749.82
Year 4 PV (M)2,527.172,624.362,724.32
Year 5 PV (M)2,457.152,575.842,699.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,081.9349,356.0151,717.12
Equity Value (M)60,088.1162,729.6565,467.43
Shares Outstanding (M)2,383.002,383.002,383.00
Fair Value$25.22$26.32$27.47
Upside / Downside14.62%19.65%24.88%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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