Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Entergy Corporation (ETR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$69.32 - $138.74$96.36
Multi-Stage$82.45 - $90.26$86.29
Blended Fair Value$91.32
Current Price$93.19
Upside-2.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.65%5.11%2.222.071.901.751.691.611.461.421.381.35
YoY Growth--6.91%9.09%8.59%3.58%5.17%9.86%2.99%2.79%2.16%0.47%
Dividend Yield--2.59%3.96%3.53%3.00%3.40%3.42%3.10%3.61%3.64%3.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,817.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,042.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)775.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)363.52227.20136.32
Cash Retained (M)775.25775.25775.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-363.52-227.20-136.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)411.73548.05638.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)442.51442.51442.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.931.241.44
LTM Dividend per Share2.362.362.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.931.241.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.293.593.80
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate2.65%3.65%4.65%
Fair Value$69.32$96.36$138.74
Upside / Downside-25.61%3.41%48.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,817.591,883.891,952.612,023.842,097.662,174.182,239.40
Payout Ratio57.35%63.88%70.41%76.94%83.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,042.341,203.391,374.801,557.121,750.911,956.762,071.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.51%7.51%7.51%
Growth Rate2.65%3.65%4.65%
Year 1 PV (M)1,108.491,119.291,130.09
Year 2 PV (M)1,166.521,189.361,212.42
Year 3 PV (M)1,217.031,252.951,289.56
Year 4 PV (M)1,260.581,310.421,361.73
Year 5 PV (M)1,297.691,362.141,429.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,436.2631,947.9933,519.19
Equity Value (M)36,486.5738,182.1539,942.13
Shares Outstanding (M)442.51442.51442.51
Fair Value$82.45$86.29$90.26
Upside / Downside-11.52%-7.41%-3.14%

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