Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ebix, Inc. (EBIX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.35 - $4.35$3.18
Multi-Stage$3.58 - $3.93$3.75
Blended Fair Value$3.46
Current Price$9.88
Upside-64.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS-0.58%2.80%0.300.300.300.300.300.310.320.340.370.09
YoY Growth---0.14%0.42%0.57%-1.32%-2.40%-2.89%-6.14%-8.19%308.23%-60.28%
Dividend Yield--2.28%0.91%0.94%1.96%0.60%0.42%0.52%0.83%1.22%0.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.990.620.37
Cash Retained (M)2.632.632.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.99-0.62-0.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.642.012.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.8430.8430.84
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.070.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.130.140.15
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate1.27%2.27%3.27%
Fair Value$2.35$3.18$4.35
Upside / Downside-76.17%-67.86%-55.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.955.065.175.295.415.535.70
Payout Ratio46.85%55.48%64.11%72.74%81.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.322.813.323.854.404.985.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate1.27%2.27%3.27%
Year 1 PV (M)2.602.632.65
Year 2 PV (M)2.852.912.97
Year 3 PV (M)3.073.163.25
Year 4 PV (M)3.253.393.52
Year 5 PV (M)3.413.593.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)95.26100.06105.05
Equity Value (M)110.45115.72121.20
Shares Outstanding (M)30.8430.8430.84
Fair Value$3.58$3.75$3.93
Upside / Downside-63.75%-62.02%-60.22%

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