Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ascencio S.A. (0P2J.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - GeneralSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$108.18 - $231.84$154.15
Multi-Stage$121.36 - $132.71$126.93
Blended Fair Value$140.54
Current Price$44.35
Upside216.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.07%8.00%4.153.953.703.653.503.402.491.941.451.12
YoY Growth--5.06%6.76%1.37%4.28%2.94%36.39%28.46%34.15%29.42%-41.85%
Dividend Yield--8.78%7.95%7.05%6.80%7.30%6.16%5.00%3.43%2.31%1.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)38.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.694.812.88
Cash Retained (M)10.1010.1010.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.69-4.81-2.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.415.297.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.606.606.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.360.801.09
LTM Dividend per Share4.304.304.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.360.801.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.675.105.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate3.06%4.06%5.06%
Fair Value$108.18$154.15$231.84
Upside / Downside143.92%247.59%422.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)38.4640.0241.6543.3445.0946.9248.33
Payout Ratio73.74%76.99%80.24%83.50%86.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.3630.8233.4236.1839.1242.2344.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.50%7.50%7.50%
Growth Rate3.06%4.06%5.06%
Year 1 PV (M)28.3928.6628.94
Year 2 PV (M)28.3728.9229.48
Year 3 PV (M)28.2929.1329.97
Year 4 PV (M)28.1829.2930.43
Year 5 PV (M)28.0329.4230.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)659.20691.81725.70
Equity Value (M)800.46837.23875.38
Shares Outstanding (M)6.606.606.60
Fair Value$121.36$126.93$132.71
Upside / Downside173.63%186.20%199.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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