Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Tetra Tech, Inc. (TTEK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.03 - $48.48$29.75
Multi-Stage$14.13 - $15.43$14.77
Blended Fair Value$22.26
Current Price$33.63
Upside-33.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS13.36%13.56%0.240.220.190.170.150.130.110.090.080.07
YoY Growth--10.56%12.89%13.05%15.13%15.25%17.08%21.23%12.94%9.82%8.20%
Dividend Yield--0.72%0.55%0.58%0.59%0.44%0.56%0.64%0.88%0.84%0.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)247.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65.04
(=) Cash Retained (M)182.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.5430.9718.58
Cash Retained (M)182.69182.69182.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.54-30.97-18.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)133.14151.72164.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)267.92267.92267.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.500.570.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.500.570.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.740.810.86
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20.03$29.75$48.48
Upside / Downside-40.45%-11.54%44.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)247.72263.83280.97299.24318.69339.40349.59
Payout Ratio26.25%39.00%51.75%64.50%77.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65.04102.90145.41193.01246.19305.46323.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.40%9.40%9.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)93.1894.0694.95
Year 2 PV (M)119.23121.51123.80
Year 3 PV (M)143.31147.43151.62
Year 4 PV (M)165.53171.89178.44
Year 5 PV (M)185.98194.96204.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,077.923,226.583,380.93
Equity Value (M)3,785.153,956.434,134.02
Shares Outstanding (M)267.92267.92267.92
Fair Value$14.13$14.77$15.43
Upside / Downside-57.99%-56.09%-54.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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