Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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TOA Paint (Thailand) Public Company Limited (TOA.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.38 - $19.22$15.55
Multi-Stage$16.20 - $17.72$16.95
Blended Fair Value$16.25
Current Price$13.60
Upside19.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.45%-1.30%0.630.590.450.590.550.420.360.763.290.76
YoY Growth--6.04%31.82%-23.12%5.98%31.71%17.14%-52.59%-77.04%331.55%6.33%
Dividend Yield--5.57%2.87%1.45%1.97%1.74%1.33%1.14%1.91%13.72%3.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,523.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,168.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,355.23
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)504.66315.41189.25
Cash Retained (M)1,355.231,355.231,355.23
(-) Cash Required (M)-504.66-315.41-189.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)850.571,039.821,165.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,981.031,981.031,981.03
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.520.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.590.590.59
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.520.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.021.111.18
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate1.16%2.16%3.16%
Fair Value$12.38$15.55$19.22
Upside / Downside-8.94%14.31%41.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,523.302,577.832,633.532,690.432,748.572,807.962,892.20
Payout Ratio46.29%55.03%63.77%72.52%81.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,168.071,418.661,679.531,951.012,233.442,527.172,675.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate1.16%2.16%3.16%
Year 1 PV (M)1,283.071,295.761,308.44
Year 2 PV (M)1,373.841,401.131,428.70
Year 3 PV (M)1,443.391,486.611,530.70
Year 4 PV (M)1,494.421,554.391,616.15
Year 5 PV (M)1,529.341,606.441,686.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,965.8626,224.4727,533.33
Equity Value (M)32,089.9233,568.8135,103.94
Shares Outstanding (M)1,981.031,981.031,981.03
Fair Value$16.20$16.95$17.72
Upside / Downside19.11%24.60%30.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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