Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Panjawattana Plastic Public Company Limited (PJW.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaging & ContainersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.32 - $12.74$7.88
Multi-Stage$5.92 - $6.50$6.20
Blended Fair Value$7.04
Current Price$2.12
Upside232.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.13%3.04%0.120.050.080.190.060.070.000.120.090.00
YoY Growth--142.61%-35.20%-59.76%192.80%-12.53%424,527.71%-99.99%29.99%326,949.95%-99.97%
Dividend Yield--5.33%1.62%1.73%3.96%1.78%8.40%0.00%5.51%3.16%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)158.88
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)53.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)105.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31.7819.8611.92
Cash Retained (M)105.65105.65105.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-31.78-19.86-11.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)73.8785.7993.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)623.95623.95623.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.090.090.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.140.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.89%6.89%6.89%
Growth Rate2.95%3.95%4.95%
Fair Value$5.32$7.88$12.74
Upside / Downside151.03%271.50%500.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)158.88165.16171.68178.47185.52192.85198.63
Payout Ratio33.50%44.80%56.10%67.40%78.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)53.2374.0096.32120.29146.00173.56183.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.89%6.89%6.89%
Growth Rate2.95%3.95%4.95%
Year 1 PV (M)68.5669.2369.89
Year 2 PV (M)82.6884.3085.93
Year 3 PV (M)95.6798.49101.36
Year 4 PV (M)107.59111.84116.20
Year 5 PV (M)118.51124.37130.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,223.343,382.963,548.84
Equity Value (M)3,696.363,871.184,052.69
Shares Outstanding (M)623.95623.95623.95
Fair Value$5.92$6.20$6.50
Upside / Downside179.44%192.65%206.38%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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