Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Mueller Industries, Inc. (MLI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$127.00 - $272.93$181.14
Multi-Stage$91.80 - $100.30$95.97
Blended Fair Value$138.56
Current Price$101.40
Upside36.64%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS31.89%18.14%0.790.590.500.260.200.200.201.750.190.15
YoY Growth--33.26%19.86%91.46%30.42%0.07%-1.67%-88.47%827.93%25.56%0.50%
Dividend Yield--1.03%1.10%1.35%0.91%0.96%1.75%1.29%13.39%1.10%1.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)749.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)104.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)645.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)149.8393.6456.18
Cash Retained (M)645.10645.10645.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-149.83-93.64-56.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)495.27551.46588.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)112.45112.45112.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.404.905.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.930.930.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.404.905.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.335.836.16
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$127.00$181.14$272.93
Upside / Downside25.25%78.64%169.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)749.13797.82849.68904.91963.731,026.371,057.17
Payout Ratio13.89%29.11%44.33%59.55%74.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)104.03232.25376.68538.92720.65923.74977.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)209.29211.27213.26
Year 2 PV (M)305.90311.72317.60
Year 3 PV (M)394.38405.70417.24
Year 4 PV (M)475.24493.52512.32
Year 5 PV (M)548.95575.47603.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,389.048,794.239,214.94
Equity Value (M)10,322.8010,791.9211,278.35
Shares Outstanding (M)112.45112.45112.45
Fair Value$91.80$95.97$100.30
Upside / Downside-9.47%-5.35%-1.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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