Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Exelon Corporation (EXC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.09 - $20.90$18.01
Multi-Stage$67.88 - $75.28$71.50
Blended Fair Value$44.76
Current Price$45.01
Upside-0.57%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-11.23%-3.12%0.771.421.321.491.481.401.321.231.161.10
YoY Growth---45.85%7.42%-10.89%0.34%5.97%5.71%7.77%6.00%5.52%3.76%
Dividend Yield--1.67%3.82%3.16%3.12%4.75%5.32%3.72%4.41%4.51%4.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,821.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,594.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,227.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)564.20352.63211.58
Cash Retained (M)1,227.001,227.001,227.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-564.20-352.63-211.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)662.80874.381,015.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,007.391,007.391,007.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.660.871.01
LTM Dividend per Share1.581.581.58
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.660.871.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.242.452.59
WACC / Discount Rate5.20%5.20%5.20%
Growth Rate-8.40%-7.40%-6.40%
Fair Value$15.09$18.01$20.90
Upside / Downside-66.47%-59.99%-53.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,821.002,612.162,418.782,239.712,073.911,920.371,977.98
Payout Ratio56.50%63.20%69.90%76.60%83.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,594.001,650.981,690.801,715.661,727.581,728.331,829.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.20%5.20%5.20%
Growth Rate-8.40%-7.40%-6.40%
Year 1 PV (M)1,552.501,569.451,586.40
Year 2 PV (M)1,495.101,527.921,561.10
Year 3 PV (M)1,426.591,473.831,522.09
Year 4 PV (M)1,350.811,410.781,472.71
Year 5 PV (M)1,270.791,341.691,415.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)61,287.0664,706.3868,276.65
Equity Value (M)68,382.8572,030.0575,834.68
Shares Outstanding (M)1,007.391,007.391,007.39
Fair Value$67.88$71.50$75.28
Upside / Downside50.81%58.86%67.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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