Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Evolution AB (publ) (E3G1.SG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$104.90 - $224.44$149.38
Multi-Stage$79.69 - $86.86$83.22
Blended Fair Value$116.30
Current Price$70.10
Upside65.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS66.66%58.75%2.732.141.400.690.390.210.160.080.060.00
YoY Growth--27.50%52.67%102.47%78.48%82.80%32.66%102.55%40.63%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.92%1.92%1.14%0.71%0.31%0.69%1.16%0.90%0.56%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,133.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)574.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)558.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)226.67141.6785.00
Cash Retained (M)558.44558.44558.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-226.67-141.67-85.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)331.77416.77473.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)204.88204.88204.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.622.032.31
LTM Dividend per Share2.812.812.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.622.032.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.434.845.12
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$104.90$149.38$224.44
Upside / Downside49.64%113.10%220.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,133.351,207.021,285.471,369.031,458.021,552.791,599.37
Payout Ratio50.73%58.58%66.44%74.29%82.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)574.91707.09854.021,017.061,197.691,397.511,479.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.95%9.95%9.95%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)637.06643.09649.13
Year 2 PV (M)693.23706.43719.76
Year 3 PV (M)743.81765.16786.92
Year 4 PV (M)789.16819.51850.72
Year 5 PV (M)829.62869.69911.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,635.1413,245.4213,879.06
Equity Value (M)16,328.0017,049.3017,796.88
Shares Outstanding (M)204.88204.88204.88
Fair Value$79.69$83.22$86.86
Upside / Downside13.69%18.71%23.91%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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