Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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DSM-Firmenich AG (DSFIR.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$73.88 - $244.03$120.25
Multi-Stage$51.70 - $56.29$53.95
Blended Fair Value$87.10
Current Price$90.26
Upside-3.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.04%14.32%2.530.601.311.011.101.100.850.760.720.66
YoY Growth--324.84%-54.49%29.70%-7.96%-0.69%29.33%12.50%5.26%9.20%-0.57%
Dividend Yield--2.77%0.57%1.11%0.86%0.93%0.94%0.72%0.64%0.61%0.56%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)718.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)714.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)143.6089.7553.85
Cash Retained (M)4.004.004.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-143.60-89.75-53.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)-139.60-85.75-49.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)263.85263.85263.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.53-0.32-0.19
LTM Dividend per Share2.712.712.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.53-0.32-0.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.182.382.52
WACC / Discount Rate8.61%8.61%8.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$73.88$120.25$244.03
Upside / Downside-18.15%33.22%170.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)718.00764.67814.37867.31923.68983.721,013.23
Payout Ratio99.44%97.55%95.67%93.78%91.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)714.00745.97779.08813.34848.76885.35937.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.61%8.61%8.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)680.39686.84693.29
Year 2 PV (M)648.12660.46672.93
Year 3 PV (M)617.14634.85652.91
Year 4 PV (M)587.40609.99633.23
Year 5 PV (M)558.86585.85613.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,547.8411,057.3111,586.27
Equity Value (M)13,639.7514,235.3114,852.50
Shares Outstanding (M)263.85263.85263.85
Fair Value$51.70$53.95$56.29
Upside / Downside-42.73%-40.23%-37.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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