Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Corporate Travel Management Limited (CTD.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23.29 - $50.80$33.39
Multi-Stage$17.49 - $19.07$18.27
Blended Fair Value$25.83
Current Price$13.25
Upside94.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.73%20.11%0.390.110.000.000.160.310.260.210.140.09
YoY Growth--254.33%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-47.09%20.82%22.80%45.42%55.17%48.13%
Dividend Yield--2.92%0.62%0.00%0.00%1.75%1.41%0.97%0.94%1.07%0.93%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)174.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)83.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)91.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.9221.8213.09
Cash Retained (M)91.4791.4791.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.92-21.82-13.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)56.5569.6478.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)145.46145.46145.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.480.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.570.570.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.480.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.961.051.11
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$23.29$33.39$50.80
Upside / Downside75.77%152.02%283.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)174.59185.94198.02210.89224.60239.20246.38
Payout Ratio47.61%56.09%64.57%73.04%81.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)83.12104.29127.86154.05183.10215.28227.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.85%9.85%9.85%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)94.0594.9495.83
Year 2 PV (M)103.98105.96107.95
Year 3 PV (M)112.97116.21119.52
Year 4 PV (M)121.09125.75130.54
Year 5 PV (M)128.39134.59141.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,984.312,080.152,179.66
Equity Value (M)2,544.782,657.592,774.53
Shares Outstanding (M)145.46145.46145.46
Fair Value$17.49$18.27$19.07
Upside / Downside32.03%37.89%43.95%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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