Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Cresud Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Inmobiliaria, Financiera y Agropecuaria (CRES.BA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18,940.98 - $58,315.03$54,649.72
Multi-Stage$8,042.53 - $8,790.52$8,409.71
Blended Fair Value$31,529.71
Current Price$1,413.00
Upside2,131.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS102.75%119.29%141.64200.21263.98107.8718.894.130.751.527.360.39
YoY Growth---29.26%-24.16%144.72%471.13%356.86%447.64%-50.43%-79.30%1,800.42%602.94%
Dividend Yield--10.02%18.62%47.96%65.55%20.55%10.66%2.16%3.10%25.10%1.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)181,002.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)121,662.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)59,340.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)36,200.4022,625.2513,575.15
Cash Retained (M)59,340.0059,340.0059,340.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-36,200.40-22,625.25-13,575.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)23,139.6036,714.7545,764.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)617.28617.28617.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share37.4959.4874.14
LTM Dividend per Share197.09197.09197.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share37.4959.4874.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend234.58256.57271.23
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18,940.98$54,649.72$58,315.03
Upside / Downside1,240.48%3,767.64%4,027.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)181,002.00192,767.13205,296.99218,641.30232,852.98247,988.43255,428.08
Payout Ratio67.22%71.77%76.33%80.89%85.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)121,662.00138,354.11156,702.17176,850.93198,956.96223,189.58236,270.97

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)128,320.74129,537.05130,753.36
Year 2 PV (M)134,798.35137,365.88139,957.63
Year 3 PV (M)141,098.28145,148.70149,275.91
Year 4 PV (M)147,223.89152,885.71158,709.28
Year 5 PV (M)153,178.52160,577.10168,258.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,259,884.984,465,639.024,679,267.74
Equity Value (M)4,964,504.765,191,153.465,426,222.77
Shares Outstanding (M)617.28617.28617.28
Fair Value$8,042.53$8,409.71$8,790.52
Upside / Downside469.18%495.17%522.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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