Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Cencosud Shopping S.A. (CENCOSHOPP.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,097.54 - $1,658.08$1,361.78
Multi-Stage$1,767.86 - $1,934.42$1,849.57
Blended Fair Value$1,605.68
Current Price$1,541.10
Upside4.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017
DPS1.56%0.00%94.9389.9372.2454.9616.7787.870.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.56%24.48%31.45%227.69%-80.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.16%7.03%7.83%3.66%1.22%5.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)214,575.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)162,053.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)52,521.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42,915.1626,821.9716,093.18
Cash Retained (M)52,521.8352,521.8352,521.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-42,915.16-26,821.97-16,093.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,606.6725,699.8536,428.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,707.161,707.161,707.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.6315.0521.34
LTM Dividend per Share94.9394.9394.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.6315.0521.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend100.55109.98116.26
WACC / Discount Rate8.68%8.68%8.68%
Growth Rate-0.44%0.56%1.56%
Fair Value$1,097.54$1,361.78$1,658.08
Upside / Downside-28.78%-11.64%7.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)214,575.78215,772.88216,976.65218,187.15219,404.39220,628.43227,247.28
Payout Ratio75.52%78.42%81.31%84.21%87.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)162,053.95169,205.55176,431.89183,733.61191,111.30198,565.59210,203.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.68%8.68%8.68%
Growth Rate-0.44%0.56%1.56%
Year 1 PV (M)154,144.47155,692.76157,241.05
Year 2 PV (M)146,421.15149,377.35152,363.10
Year 3 PV (M)138,908.45143,136.40147,449.27
Year 4 PV (M)131,625.43136,994.04142,525.23
Year 5 PV (M)124,586.44130,970.39137,613.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,322,336.182,441,335.292,565,163.28
Equity Value (M)3,018,022.133,157,506.243,302,355.33
Shares Outstanding (M)1,707.161,707.161,707.16
Fair Value$1,767.86$1,849.57$1,934.42
Upside / Downside14.71%20.02%25.52%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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