Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Bangkok Chain Hospital Public Company Limited (BCH-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Care FacilitiesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.20 - $22.35$14.65
Multi-Stage$7.99 - $8.69$8.34
Blended Fair Value$11.49
Current Price$13.00
Upside-11.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS10.96%11.03%0.370.511.410.330.230.220.230.180.140.12
YoY Growth---26.00%-64.29%324.98%43.23%4.55%-4.35%27.78%28.57%16.66%-7.69%
Dividend Yield--2.67%2.45%6.93%1.62%1.58%1.95%1.35%1.06%1.09%1.11%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,289.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,072.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)217.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)257.98161.2496.74
Cash Retained (M)217.60217.60217.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-257.98-161.24-96.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)-40.3856.37120.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,468.232,468.232,468.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.020.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.020.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.420.460.48
WACC / Discount Rate9.82%9.82%9.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10.20$14.65$22.35
Upside / Downside-21.55%12.68%71.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,289.901,373.751,463.041,558.141,659.421,767.281,820.30
Payout Ratio83.13%84.50%85.88%87.25%88.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,072.301,160.871,256.431,359.511,470.671,590.551,683.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.82%9.82%9.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,047.101,057.021,066.95
Year 2 PV (M)1,022.221,041.691,061.34
Year 3 PV (M)997.681,026.321,055.50
Year 4 PV (M)973.481,010.921,049.43
Year 5 PV (M)949.65995.511,043.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,730.4115,441.8916,180.61
Equity Value (M)19,720.5320,573.3521,456.96
Shares Outstanding (M)2,468.232,468.232,468.23
Fair Value$7.99$8.34$8.69
Upside / Downside-38.54%-35.88%-33.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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