Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Avnet, Inc. (AVT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$43.00 - $82.78$58.91
Multi-Stage$49.79 - $54.51$52.11
Blended Fair Value$55.51
Current Price$51.94
Upside6.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS6.18%2.64%1.311.301.231.140.980.971.011.021.031.03
YoY Growth--1.20%5.30%7.96%16.82%0.40%-3.65%-1.24%-0.45%0.07%1.45%
Dividend Yield--2.53%2.39%2.56%3.16%2.58%3.74%2.29%2.28%2.61%2.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)233.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)112.91
(=) Cash Retained (M)120.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.6029.1317.48
Cash Retained (M)120.09120.09120.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.60-29.13-17.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)73.4990.97102.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)86.3186.3186.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.851.051.19
LTM Dividend per Share1.311.311.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.851.051.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.162.362.50
WACC / Discount Rate7.87%7.87%7.87%
Growth Rate2.71%3.71%4.71%
Fair Value$43.00$58.91$82.78
Upside / Downside-17.21%13.41%59.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)233.01241.66250.63259.94269.59279.60287.99
Payout Ratio48.46%56.77%65.08%73.38%81.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)112.91137.18163.10190.75220.23251.64266.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.87%7.87%7.87%
Growth Rate2.71%3.71%4.71%
Year 1 PV (M)125.95127.17128.40
Year 2 PV (M)137.47140.16142.88
Year 3 PV (M)147.61151.96156.40
Year 4 PV (M)156.46162.65169.01
Year 5 PV (M)164.13172.28180.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,566.363,743.383,927.36
Equity Value (M)4,297.994,497.614,704.81
Shares Outstanding (M)86.3186.3186.31
Fair Value$49.79$52.11$54.51
Upside / Downside-4.13%0.32%4.94%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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