Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Astra Graphia Tbk (ASGR.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$835.25 - $1,129.83$985.89
Multi-Stage$1,529.18 - $1,678.36$1,602.30
Blended Fair Value$1,294.09
Current Price$1,165.00
Upside11.08%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-6.71%-2.60%53.0034.0027.0016.0054.0074.9980.9973.99119.9976.99
YoY Growth--55.88%25.92%68.75%-70.37%-28.00%-7.41%9.46%-38.33%55.84%11.59%
Dividend Yield--6.46%4.00%2.83%1.84%6.71%9.20%5.83%4.71%6.22%4.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)235,362.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)133,529.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)101,833.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47,072.4029,420.2517,652.15
Cash Retained (M)101,833.00101,833.00101,833.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-47,072.40-29,420.25-17,652.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)54,760.6072,412.7584,180.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,348.891,348.891,348.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share40.6053.6862.41
LTM Dividend per Share98.9998.9998.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share40.6053.6862.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend139.59152.67161.40
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate-5.82%-4.82%-3.82%
Fair Value$835.25$985.89$1,129.83
Upside / Downside-28.31%-15.37%-3.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)235,362.00224,014.12213,213.37202,933.37193,149.02183,836.42189,351.51
Payout Ratio56.73%63.39%70.04%76.69%83.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)133,529.00141,995.30149,334.80155,636.47160,983.32165,452.78175,150.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate-5.82%-4.82%-3.82%
Year 1 PV (M)127,825.76129,183.03130,540.30
Year 2 PV (M)121,017.96123,601.58126,212.48
Year 3 PV (M)113,538.88117,194.13120,927.00
Year 4 PV (M)105,720.33110,282.56114,990.88
Year 5 PV (M)97,812.89103,117.30108,649.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,496,776.301,577,946.681,662,600.98
Equity Value (M)2,062,692.132,161,325.282,263,921.02
Shares Outstanding (M)1,348.891,348.891,348.89
Fair Value$1,529.18$1,602.30$1,678.36
Upside / Downside31.26%37.54%44.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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