Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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The Allstate Corporation (ALL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$665.10 - $1,582.15$982.23
Multi-Stage$478.82 - $523.57$500.79
Blended Fair Value$741.51
Current Price$214.65
Upside245.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.06%7.27%3.593.463.463.312.502.442.291.961.821.80
YoY Growth--4.00%-0.11%4.63%32.49%2.30%6.35%16.95%8.02%0.62%1.26%
Dividend Yield--1.74%2.00%3.12%2.39%2.17%2.66%2.41%2.07%2.23%2.68%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,378.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,016.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,362.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,675.601,047.25628.35
Cash Retained (M)7,362.007,362.007,362.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,675.60-1,047.25-628.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,686.406,314.756,733.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)267.70267.70267.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.2423.5925.15
LTM Dividend per Share3.803.803.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.2423.5925.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend25.0427.3828.95
WACC / Discount Rate9.23%9.23%9.23%
Growth Rate5.27%6.27%7.27%
Fair Value$665.10$982.23$1,582.15
Upside / Downside209.85%357.59%637.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,378.008,903.049,460.9810,053.8910,683.9611,353.5111,694.11
Payout Ratio12.13%27.70%43.28%58.85%74.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,016.002,466.284,094.355,916.807,951.5810,218.1610,817.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.23%9.23%9.23%
Growth Rate5.27%6.27%7.27%
Year 1 PV (M)2,236.642,257.892,279.14
Year 2 PV (M)3,367.383,431.673,496.55
Year 3 PV (M)4,413.144,540.104,669.49
Year 4 PV (M)5,378.585,585.895,799.14
Year 5 PV (M)6,268.176,571.606,886.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)106,516.93111,673.35117,027.56
Equity Value (M)128,180.84134,060.51140,158.55
Shares Outstanding (M)267.70267.70267.70
Fair Value$478.82$500.79$523.57
Upside / Downside123.07%133.30%143.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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