Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Yuexiu Services Group Limited (6626.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.06 - $109.11$102.25
Multi-Stage$14.96 - $16.35$15.64
Blended Fair Value$58.95
Current Price$2.63
Upside2,141.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS82.44%0.00%0.170.180.090.060.000.010.010.000.000.00
YoY Growth---4.41%101.34%50.64%2,242.33%-70.23%29.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.60%7.78%3.07%2.13%0.06%0.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)831.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)535.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)296.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)166.39104.0062.40
Cash Retained (M)296.84296.84296.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-166.39-104.00-62.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)130.45192.85234.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,516.411,516.411,516.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.480.51
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$35.06$102.25$109.11
Upside / Downside1,232.98%3,787.94%4,048.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)831.96886.04943.631,004.971,070.291,139.861,174.06
Payout Ratio64.32%69.46%74.59%79.73%84.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)535.12615.41703.88801.24908.291,025.881,086.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)570.70576.11581.52
Year 2 PV (M)605.33616.86628.49
Year 3 PV (M)639.01657.35676.04
Year 4 PV (M)671.76697.59724.16
Year 5 PV (M)703.60737.59772.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,494.2220,435.8021,413.41
Equity Value (M)22,684.6223,721.3024,796.51
Shares Outstanding (M)1,516.411,516.411,516.41
Fair Value$14.96$15.64$16.35
Upside / Downside468.80%494.79%521.75%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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