Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Systex Corporation (6214.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$131.56 - $288.10$188.89
Multi-Stage$113.18 - $123.38$118.19
Blended Fair Value$153.54
Current Price$121.00
Upside26.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.70%5.90%5.205.004.154.954.953.762.473.462.471.47
YoY Growth--3.98%20.33%-16.00%0.00%31.58%52.00%-28.57%40.00%67.91%-49.74%
Dividend Yield--4.11%4.22%5.27%6.11%5.65%5.11%3.64%5.40%3.84%2.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,852.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,415.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)436.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)370.42231.51138.91
Cash Retained (M)436.43436.43436.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-370.42-231.51-138.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)66.01204.92297.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)272.36272.36272.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.240.751.09
LTM Dividend per Share5.205.205.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.240.751.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.445.956.29
WACC / Discount Rate9.03%9.03%9.03%
Growth Rate4.70%5.70%6.70%
Fair Value$131.56$188.89$288.10
Upside / Downside8.72%56.11%138.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,852.081,957.652,069.242,187.182,311.852,443.632,516.94
Payout Ratio76.44%79.15%81.86%84.57%87.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,415.651,549.451,693.911,849.792,017.952,199.262,328.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.03%9.03%9.03%
Growth Rate4.70%5.70%6.70%
Year 1 PV (M)1,407.691,421.131,434.58
Year 2 PV (M)1,398.121,424.961,452.04
Year 3 PV (M)1,387.091,427.221,468.11
Year 4 PV (M)1,374.741,428.021,482.83
Year 5 PV (M)1,361.181,427.431,496.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,898.2025,061.4826,269.63
Equity Value (M)30,827.0232,190.2433,603.44
Shares Outstanding (M)272.36272.36272.36
Fair Value$113.18$118.19$123.38
Upside / Downside-6.46%-2.32%1.97%

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