Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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Poly Property Services Co., Ltd. (6049.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$103.17 - $221.40$147.08
Multi-Stage$76.01 - $82.97$79.42
Blended Fair Value$113.25
Current Price$30.24
Upside274.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.11%0.00%1.000.510.310.430.300.290.380.000.100.02
YoY Growth--98.41%64.92%-29.07%43.33%3.75%-23.81%0.00%-100.00%320.62%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.52%1.94%0.75%0.87%0.59%0.70%0.96%0.00%0.24%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,981.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)830.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,150.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)596.22372.63223.58
Cash Retained (M)2,150.522,150.522,150.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-596.22-372.63-223.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,554.311,777.891,926.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)549.90549.90549.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.833.233.50
LTM Dividend per Share1.511.511.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.833.233.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.344.745.01
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$103.17$147.08$221.40
Upside / Downside241.17%386.37%632.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,981.083,174.853,381.213,600.993,835.064,084.334,206.86
Payout Ratio27.86%40.29%52.72%65.14%77.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)830.551,279.101,782.462,345.842,974.943,675.903,891.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.93%9.93%9.93%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,152.591,163.511,174.44
Year 2 PV (M)1,447.291,474.851,502.68
Year 3 PV (M)1,716.331,765.601,815.81
Year 4 PV (M)1,961.322,036.742,114.33
Year 5 PV (M)2,183.742,289.222,398.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,335.1634,945.2636,616.99
Equity Value (M)41,796.4343,675.1945,622.97
Shares Outstanding (M)549.90549.90549.90
Fair Value$76.01$79.42$82.97
Upside / Downside151.35%162.65%174.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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