Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping Company Limited (3877.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.98 - $126.91$80.58
Multi-Stage$33.54 - $36.85$35.16
Blended Fair Value$57.87
Current Price$2.10
Upside2,655.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.03%0.00%0.120.100.090.090.080.030.240.000.000.00
YoY Growth--16.31%14.99%0.00%12.50%166.67%-87.45%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.65%6.96%7.72%8.21%7.30%2.28%19.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,027.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,373.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,653.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)805.42503.39302.03
Cash Retained (M)2,653.472,653.472,653.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-805.42-503.39-302.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,848.042,150.082,351.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,168.666,168.666,168.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.300.350.38
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.300.350.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate4.82%4.82%4.82%
Growth Rate3.08%4.08%5.08%
Fair Value$30.98$80.58$126.91
Upside / Downside1,375.22%3,737.36%5,943.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,027.114,191.484,362.554,540.604,725.924,918.805,066.36
Payout Ratio34.11%45.29%56.47%67.64%78.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,373.651,898.232,463.353,071.443,725.064,426.924,686.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.82%4.82%4.82%
Growth Rate3.08%4.08%5.08%
Year 1 PV (M)1,793.561,810.961,828.36
Year 2 PV (M)2,199.182,242.052,285.34
Year 3 PV (M)2,590.852,666.982,744.60
Year 4 PV (M)2,968.933,085.823,206.13
Year 5 PV (M)3,333.763,498.633,669.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)193,998.72203,593.05213,563.28
Equity Value (M)206,884.98216,897.50227,297.67
Shares Outstanding (M)6,168.666,168.666,168.66
Fair Value$33.54$35.16$36.85
Upside / Downside1,497.05%1,574.34%1,654.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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