Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hanil Cement Co., Ltd. (300720.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42,414.60 - $197,636.08$74,758.88
Multi-Stage$27,166.97 - $29,628.31$28,375.49
Blended Fair Value$51,567.18
Current Price$18,610.00
Upside177.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS25.91%0.00%852.41624.87582.51533.27281.35269.380.00206.60150.27150.27
YoY Growth--36.41%7.27%9.23%89.54%4.44%0.00%-100.00%37.48%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.37%5.08%4.50%2.53%1.67%4.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)93,138.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73,124.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,013.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18,627.6611,642.296,985.37
Cash Retained (M)20,013.3720,013.3720,013.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-18,627.66-11,642.29-6,985.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,385.718,371.0813,027.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.2469.2469.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share20.01120.91188.17
LTM Dividend per Share1,056.161,056.161,056.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share20.01120.91188.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,076.181,177.071,244.33
WACC / Discount Rate8.18%8.18%8.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$42,414.60$74,758.88$197,636.08
Upside / Downside127.91%301.71%961.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)93,138.2899,192.27105,639.77112,506.36119,819.27127,607.52131,435.75
Payout Ratio78.51%80.81%83.11%85.40%87.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73,124.9280,157.0487,794.3896,085.92105,084.42114,846.77121,578.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.18%8.18%8.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)73,402.4074,098.1674,793.92
Year 2 PV (M)73,621.3875,023.6676,439.17
Year 3 PV (M)73,784.5875,902.6778,060.91
Year 4 PV (M)73,894.6276,736.4079,659.36
Year 5 PV (M)73,954.0377,526.0481,234.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,512,288.801,585,332.911,661,172.60
Equity Value (M)1,880,945.811,964,619.842,051,360.72
Shares Outstanding (M)69.2469.2469.24
Fair Value$27,166.97$28,375.49$29,628.31
Upside / Downside45.98%52.47%59.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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