Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KG Eco Solution Co.,Ltd. (151860.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$306,778.19 - $361,436.69$338,719.11
Multi-Stage$104,304.64 - $114,371.35$109,244.49
Blended Fair Value$223,981.80
Current Price$5,650.00
Upside3,864.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS36.14%0.00%390.19342.94245.79233.4691.7983.450.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--13.78%39.53%5.28%154.34%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.13%3.61%1.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)76,369.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23,559.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)52,809.53
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)15,273.859,546.155,727.69
Cash Retained (M)52,809.5352,809.5352,809.53
(-) Cash Required (M)-15,273.85-9,546.15-5,727.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)37,535.6843,263.3847,081.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.0242.0242.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share893.261,029.571,120.44
LTM Dividend per Share560.66560.66560.66
(+) Excess Retained per Share893.261,029.571,120.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,453.931,590.231,681.10
WACC / Discount Rate4.82%4.82%4.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$306,778.19$338,719.11$361,436.69
Upside / Downside5,329.70%5,895.03%6,297.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)76,369.2381,333.2386,619.8992,250.1998,246.45104,632.47107,771.44
Payout Ratio30.85%42.68%54.51%66.34%78.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23,559.7034,712.8547,216.3661,198.6776,799.2094,169.2299,688.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.82%4.82%4.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)32,805.0333,115.9733,426.92
Year 2 PV (M)42,168.9542,972.1543,782.93
Year 3 PV (M)51,652.6253,135.3854,646.25
Year 4 PV (M)61,257.2063,612.9866,036.06
Year 5 PV (M)70,983.8574,412.4077,972.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,124,117.464,323,313.874,530,134.00
Equity Value (M)4,382,985.114,590,562.764,805,998.33
Shares Outstanding (M)42.0242.0242.02
Fair Value$104,304.64$109,244.49$114,371.35
Upside / Downside1,746.10%1,833.53%1,924.27%

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