Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

San Fang Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (1307.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$26.91 - $41.16$33.57
Multi-Stage$45.10 - $49.33$47.17
Blended Fair Value$40.37
Current Price$30.15
Upside33.91%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.57%1.59%1.490.800.500.500.800.501.692.191.641.50
YoY Growth--87.50%60.00%0.00%-37.50%60.00%-70.59%-22.73%33.29%9.44%17.71%
Dividend Yield--3.40%2.71%2.38%2.47%3.70%2.91%7.38%6.72%4.36%3.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,179.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,074.11
(=) Cash Retained (M)104.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)235.81147.3888.43
Cash Retained (M)104.92104.92104.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-235.81-147.38-88.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)-130.89-42.4616.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)399.16399.16399.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.33-0.110.04
LTM Dividend per Share2.692.692.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.33-0.110.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.362.582.73
WACC / Discount Rate8.33%8.33%8.33%
Growth Rate-0.41%0.59%1.59%
Fair Value$26.91$33.57$41.16
Upside / Downside-10.73%11.35%36.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,179.031,185.971,192.961,199.991,207.061,214.171,250.60
Payout Ratio91.10%90.88%90.66%90.44%90.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,074.111,077.831,081.551,085.281,089.011,092.761,156.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.33%8.33%8.33%
Growth Rate-0.41%0.59%1.59%
Year 1 PV (M)985.03994.921,004.81
Year 2 PV (M)903.33921.56939.98
Year 3 PV (M)828.40853.61879.32
Year 4 PV (M)759.69790.66822.57
Year 5 PV (M)696.67732.35769.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,828.9914,537.3815,274.50
Equity Value (M)18,002.1118,830.4819,690.67
Shares Outstanding (M)399.16399.16399.16
Fair Value$45.10$47.17$49.33
Upside / Downside49.58%56.47%63.61%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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